«All this is a lie and speculation»
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They say that if people save MCC “Progress”, it would have given the State award. But alas, neither the one nor the other they will not shine – the ship, perhaps tomorrow will fall anywhere on Earth. According to the Joint Space Operations Center US Strategic Command, it will happen on May 8th at the US Pacific coast, about 200 kilometers from Los Angeles. However, our experts call such statements are outright lies, referring to the fact that the spread of the incident positions of “progress” can be very wide – almost the entire Earth, except the Arctic and Antarctica. Who really rules?
Photo: Sergei Ivanov
So, on the eve of the Victory Day poured oil on the fire and Command aerospace defense of North America (NORAD). Every day it gives out “sensational” predictions: the “Progress” will cease to exist on May 9 186th revolutions around Earth, 1600 km east of Cuba over the central part of the Atlantic Ocean, then, adjusted – May 8, in the desert of Arizona. Some of our social networking generally admitted that the fall may Saratov on May 9.
– All these lies and speculation, – told the “MK” in Roskosmos. – Until now, none of ballistics can not determine the exact place and date of the fall of “progress”. Something to say will be only for a day or two before the descent of the ship from orbit.
In theory, it may be within the area bounded on the north and south of 52 we parallels. That is, the “Progress” can fall down and in Washington, which is on the 38th parallel, and in New York (40th), and in Paris, and in Donetsk – (48th). Suppose some area per day is outlined. How big is the risk of falling of some parts of the ship on the heads of New Yorkers or Saratov? According to our ballistics, it is minimal.
– Remember how we fly trucks annually to the ISS? Two per year. And everyone then burns up in the atmosphere before they reach the Earth. The same thing will happen with this “progress”, – he assured us a source in the space industry. By the way, except for cargo ships from orbit annually uncontrollably down the third stage of Russian, American and Chinese missiles. And from them and no one was hurt.
completely excluded falling on someone’s head can not be sure. History knows two or three cases falling meteorite or debris rocket stages on houses, cows, but no more. Why is that? Because, as we would have liked to exaggerate its importance, the world people still occupies a very small area. Therefore, based on the theory of probability, all the individual pieces of space technology falling into the seas, oceans, fields and deserts.
But human nature is incorrigible. Thanks to online resources in the social network, which allows you to track the flight of “progress”, people from different parts of the world inform each other when the ship flies over their settlements and wondering, he will fall to them or not. Disappoint those who every day looks into the night sky, hoping to see the incident “Progress” to the naked eye – it is only visible in telescopes.
Do not doze and guardians gambling business. As the “MK” is one of the bookmakers, they are waiting for rates at the crash site of “progress”. But the player will require a lot of money that will interest bookmaker – for example, 500,000 or a million rubles. Then between the parties it is the so-called individual bet (in fact, the contract) on the probability of an event.
By the way, despite the fact that the “progress” fly in space for decades, booster ” Soyuz-2.1a “outputs it into space for the second time as part of its flight tests. Therefore, you probably should not be judged too harshly missile.
“Video lost contact with the Earth” Progress M-27M »”
Video space truck “Progress M-27M”, after the ship partially lost touch with Earth. Video: youtube.com/SpaceVids.tv
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