«Just come good uncle, Joe Biden, and gave a command to stop blocking”. Thus, even Ukrainian Political scientists explain the restoration of power supply Kiev Russian Crimea. But it is unlikely Kiev can be pleased with what is happening: as a result of a two-week blockade it has suffered large losses – and will carry them further.
In Crimea, fully restored power supply of all consumers, said the Ministry of Energy of Russia. It confirmed that Ukraine is really partially restored electricity supply to the Crimea, one of the four high-voltage lines undermined. “December 8 at 01.37 put into operation 220 kV overhead line” Kakhovskaya – Titanium – Krasnoperekopsk, “- said the agency.
«Just come good uncle, Joe Biden, and from some of its considerations gave the command to stop blocking»
However, the flow of energy in Ukraine is so far only 104 MW, while how to blockade it reached 800 MW. At the same time of when the Ukrainian power will begin to repair the remaining three power lines, data are not available. However, the Crimea, even that was enough to finally turn on the lights everywhere and to get away from long trips schedules.
If the energy blockade of Ukraine to provide itself with electricity peninsula only 20%, while the remaining 80% received overflows from the Ukraine, but now, two weeks after the energy blockade, the situation has changed dramatically.
According to the Energy Ministry on December 8, the total generation in the Crimean Federal District, taking into account flow of UES of Russia and Ukraine is 769 (706) MW. This flows from the Ukraine in the Crimea in the generation occupy only 13-14% (104 MW), the remaining 86-87% peninsula generates from its own capacities and flows from Russia. Proper power – is CHP and wind power, as well as mobile diesel generators (MGTES), which generate 434 MW, or 56% of total generation. From UES of Russia on KVL 220 kV “Taman – Cane-breaker” to the peninsula receives 231 MW, or 33% of total generation.
So now supply energy bridge to the Crimea for more than twice the supply to Ukraine. Recall that on 2 December, President Putin arrived in the Crimea and has launched the first stage of the energy bridge from the Krasnodar region across the Kerch Strait, which gave the peninsula further 230 MW. Moreover, very soon – until December 20 – are still expected as much.
Ivan Andrievsky of “Engineering company” 2K “notes that by and large the Crimea could well await the launch of the second line of energy bridge from Russia on December 20 and no small amount of supplies from Ukraine, who went today. Thus, the first and foremost energy bridge will make Crimea more independent from the Ukrainian electricity.
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 In social networks began to gain popularity hashtag # SvetNash running Internet users in gratitude |
And finally volatility of the peninsula will be provided after the launch of the second phase of an energy bridge, which will increase the power flow from Russia to 800-840 MW. Completion is scheduled for summer 2016. However, the Russian energy promised possible to complete the construction in the spring.
in Europe do not understand energy blockade Crimea
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian authorities to its non-intervention in a situation where criminals have undermined energy infrastructure, surprised not only Crimeans and Russians, but and Europeans. Energy service might just three days after the bombings to renovate all four power lines and restore electricity flows in Crimea. But Kiev actually supported the so-called activists, who until recently blocked all undermined by power lines and did not allow them to recover. Involved if the organizers of the blockade to the actual blasting is not known, but the fact is that the Supreme Ukrainian authorities (even President Poroshenko) had to negotiate with them about the restoration of power supply of the Crimea. A transmission line blowing Kiev accused “Russian spies”.
In this case, the press service of Ukrenergo, speaking of connecting power lines “Kakhovskaya – Titan”, called blocking access to LEP persons only “protesters energy and food blockade Crimea”, and even pointed out that the transmission line including “with the consent of the participants.”
In comparison, Germany’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Martin Schaefer immediately after the blasts, said: “It must be said that the attack on the Ukrainian public infrastructure, which also serves the goal of Crimea with electricity, are criminal acts. We expect that they will be treated that way, and the relevant Ukrainian officials will conduct an investigation and find out everything. ”
Even the conservative German paper Die Welt, which is still fully supports euromaidan and its aftermath, not sustained. “The stronger the Ukrainian nationalists are convinced that Europe has” donated “Ukraine’s hopes for a quick victory over the LIH, the more they can get away with something to blow up,” – wrote the German edition.
Backlash from Europe to the energy blockade of the Crimea could become one of the reasons that Kiev is still backed down and reinstated the same one of the four lines.
«manifestation of certain forces that dictate the conditions of the Ukrainian authorities, the EU is a signal of the presence of critical issues in the country. Therefore, energy blockade of the Crimea – a step back on the path of European integration Kiev “, – says the newspaper VIEW chairman of” Engineering company “2K” Ivan Andrievsky.
«Biden gave the command»
Director of the Kiev Center for Political Marketing Basil Stoyakin sure that the decision to resume the supply of electricity has taken no Kyiv authorities or any of blockers. “Just came good uncle Joe Biden (US Vice President) and of some of their arguments gave the command to stop blocking” – said in an interview with Stoyakin Vzglyad. However, these considerations are quite clear: Ukraine their actions only finishes last warm feelings of the inhabitants of the Crimea to the official Kiev.
Recall that Biden arrived with the next visit to Ukraine on Sunday. Tuesday, speaking in the Verkhovna Rada, he assured that Washington will never change its position on the Crimea, and expressed confidence in the desire of residents of Donbass remain part of Ukraine.
«Probably, we have to deal with the special operation, most likely US intelligence. Who else can crank out a special operation is fully controlled by the US intelligence “Right sector *”? “- Says Stoyakin.
In addition, Poroshenko could wind up worsening of the conflict with Russia. Poroshenko did not want a conflict with Moscow because of the termination of electricity supply in the Crimea, and he did not hide his dissatisfaction on the matter, said the analyst.
The blockade bypassing Ukraine Crimea is more expensive than Russian
There are also purely economic reasons for the beginning of the restoration of flows of Ukrainian electricity to the peninsula. Energy blockade Ukraine itself brings a lot more problems than the Crimea.
According to Andrievsky, the average monthly revenue from the supply of electricity in Ukraine in Crimea is estimated at about 700 million hryvnia. That is, every day Ukraine because of the Crimea is losing energy blockade 23 million hryvnia, and 16 days of the blockade cost Ukraine 368 million UAH. Considering that instead of 800 MW, as before, Kiev began to supply only 100 MW, the country will continue to lose profits. And when the Crimea will not need a single megawatt of electricity Ukrainian, Ukraine will lose USD 8.4 billion in annual revenues.
Ukraine has lost huge revenues from the fact that the existing trade embargo Crimea. It would bypass Ukraine in the year of 1-1.5 billion dollars, estimated Alexander Koltunovich of “Ukrainian choice”. Also there is a water block, which is Ukraine UAH 50 million of lost revenue (Crimea for more than a year did not get water in the North-Crimean Canal), the expert adds.
In addition, because of the failure of the contract with Russia for the supply of electricity Ukraine has threatened penalties. Finally, Russia, together with DNR and LC after the explosion said transmission line to stop the supply of coal to Ukraine. Deficiency leads to lower coal generation at thermal power plants.
A reduction in development has already occurred – as soon as the blockade of the Crimea. It led to the emergency unloading units Ukrainian nuclear power plants, as well as a reduction in capacity and Uglegorskaya Dnieper TPP. Disconnected from the power Crimea, Ukraine and deprived his country of the electricity generated.
«On coal generation in Ukraine accounted for 30% of Ukraine’s electricity. Thus, Kiev has threatened its own energy security. And now, it is not known how this issue is resolved. If the supply of coal from Russia will be resumed and the Donbass symmetrical volumes of electricity supply, the question of power in Ukraine will retain its relevance since the full power supply has not been restored Crimea “, – said Andrievsky.
However, we must understand that, until not work full power bridge from Russia in the Crimea may still be drawing off, but, of course, already not a scale, but only during the hours of the morning peak consumption (up to 1100 MW) and evening (900 MW). Unless, of course, Ukraine will not continue to repair the power lines will not increase power flows.
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